13 - 14 July 2020

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Introduction to Influence Mapping in Evaluation

Course offered by UK Evaluation Society Institutional Member CECAN (Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus)


This 1-day course (held over two consecutive days) introduces participants to influence mapping, within the context of evaluation or as a general introduction. The course will “lift the bonnet” on the approach. Following this course, we are aiming to provide further workshops, which will provide an in-depth look at the engine-parts of the approach and how they are operated.

Based on approaches developed and implemented by the trainers, this course introduces participants to an innovative set of tools which allows subjective views and likelihoods to be handled in rigorous ways. Using the approach, there are new possibilities for detailed interrogation to enhance evaluative work and other evidence/learning and decision processes.

In summary the approach is:

1) An influence map is created from programme documentation and refined in a participatory exercise.

2) The linkages between the elements of the map, expressed as differences in probabilities of each stage of the map being realised are sourced. Responses are generally (at this stage) subjective, but they are collected in an atomised way which avoids possibilities of respondents ‘gaming’ responses.

3) The whole of the map and the subjective likelihoods that have been elicited are analysed as a ‘Bayesian Belief Network’ (BBN) using appropriate software. This can incorporate objectively observed outcome data as this becomes available.

4) The interrogation of the resulting analysis can be used to augment theory-based evaluation approaches (‘Enhanced Contribution Analysis’), strengthen ex ante assessments, or support on-going evaluative activity (such as ‘Strategy Testing’ in flexible and adaptive programmes).

For further details and booking via Eventbrite see here